Playing with numbers
I think most gooners agree that a new goalkeeper and a new central defender would fill the most obvious gaps in the Arsenal squad, but what else has to be put right? I have been playing with some numbers today. Looking at games played in the Premier League and the Champions League I have given each player starting the games 3 points for a win and 1 point for a draw. Arsenal have played 34 games averaging 2,03 points. For the various players the numbers came out as follows:
Goalkeepers
Manuel Almunia, started 11 games averaging 2,27 points.
Jens Lehmann, started 23 games averaging 1,91 points.
Almunia comes out with the better score. Scary!
Defenders
Clichy, started 6 games averaging 2,50 points.
Lauren, started 30 games averaging 2,07 points.
Toure, started 32 games averaging 2,06 points.
Campbell, started 18 games averaging 2,00 points.
Cole, started 30 games averaging 2,00 points.
Hoyte, started 5 games averaging 2,00 points.
Senderos, started 2 games averaging 2,00 points.
Cygan, started 15 games averaging 1,93 points.
All defenders are scoring around Arsenal's average points per game except Gael Clichy who stands out with 2,50 points and Pascal Cygan whose 1,93 points unsurprisingly comes in last of the defenders. Gael Clichy is a great prospect!
Midfielders
Pennant, started 1 game averaging 3,00 points.
Gilberto, started 7 games averaging 2,71 points.
Flamini, started 6 games averaging 2,50 points.
Fabregas, started 20 games averaging 2,10 points.
Pires, started 26 games averaging 1,92 points.
Vieira, started 27 games averaging 1,85 points.
Ljungberg, started 25 games averaging 1,68 points.
Edu, started 8 games averaging 1,50 points.
The first thing that catches the eye about the midfielders is how much better Arsenal are doing when either Gilberto or Flamini have been playing. The workoholics has a very positive impact on our results. It is disappointing to find Pires and Vieira scoring below average, but Freddie Ljungberg's low score of 1,68 points should raise some eyebrows. Edu comes in rock bottom.
Forwards
Bergkamp, started 20 games averaging 2,40 points.
Reyes, started 23 games averaging 2,09 points.
Henry, started 34 games averaging 2,03 points.
van Persie, started 5 games averaging 2,00 points.
One name stand out, Dennis Bergkamp. Arsenal's results are remarkably better when Dennis is in the team. It seems he still is Arsenal's most influential player.
Any conclusions?
This simple hour of mathematics on my part is of course not even close to being conclusive. There are far too many variables that hasn't been taken into consideration and the amount of data used wouldn't get a statistician even remotely interested. Nevertheless it has to be allowed to raise some questions.
First, how on earth are we going to replace Dennis Bergkamp? He will be 36 years old in may, but he still holds the key to Arsenal's stylish game. When Dennis is around, Arsenal are most likely to win. At present there is nobody to take his place. Give him another year!
Second. Arsenal must have a central midfielder who can run continuously for 90 minutes shielding the back four, making tackles all over the place and just be in the oppositions way every time they have the ball. We have had Emmanuel Petit and Ray Parlour. We have been used to have Gilberto, and coming up we have Mathieu Flamini. Cesc Fabregas has been in the limelight in Gilberto's absence. However, Arsenal's results are better with Mathieu Flamini. There are more to a great team than pace and trickery!
Third and last. When Freddie's red hair went out the window the magic went with with it. He averages a mere 1,68 points per game he plays this season, and even worse - it has been like this for years now. I don't know why it is like that. He scores his fair share of goals, but that's how the numbers are adding up. I believe that Freddie has a higher sale value than he has value to the team. Perhaps it's time to let him go to make room for others, perhaps someone like Shaun Wright-Phillips. It could have been Jermaine Pennant!
Goalkeepers
Manuel Almunia, started 11 games averaging 2,27 points.
Jens Lehmann, started 23 games averaging 1,91 points.
Almunia comes out with the better score. Scary!
Defenders
Clichy, started 6 games averaging 2,50 points.
Lauren, started 30 games averaging 2,07 points.
Toure, started 32 games averaging 2,06 points.
Campbell, started 18 games averaging 2,00 points.
Cole, started 30 games averaging 2,00 points.
Hoyte, started 5 games averaging 2,00 points.
Senderos, started 2 games averaging 2,00 points.
Cygan, started 15 games averaging 1,93 points.
All defenders are scoring around Arsenal's average points per game except Gael Clichy who stands out with 2,50 points and Pascal Cygan whose 1,93 points unsurprisingly comes in last of the defenders. Gael Clichy is a great prospect!
Midfielders
Pennant, started 1 game averaging 3,00 points.
Gilberto, started 7 games averaging 2,71 points.
Flamini, started 6 games averaging 2,50 points.
Fabregas, started 20 games averaging 2,10 points.
Pires, started 26 games averaging 1,92 points.
Vieira, started 27 games averaging 1,85 points.
Ljungberg, started 25 games averaging 1,68 points.
Edu, started 8 games averaging 1,50 points.
The first thing that catches the eye about the midfielders is how much better Arsenal are doing when either Gilberto or Flamini have been playing. The workoholics has a very positive impact on our results. It is disappointing to find Pires and Vieira scoring below average, but Freddie Ljungberg's low score of 1,68 points should raise some eyebrows. Edu comes in rock bottom.
Forwards
Bergkamp, started 20 games averaging 2,40 points.
Reyes, started 23 games averaging 2,09 points.
Henry, started 34 games averaging 2,03 points.
van Persie, started 5 games averaging 2,00 points.
One name stand out, Dennis Bergkamp. Arsenal's results are remarkably better when Dennis is in the team. It seems he still is Arsenal's most influential player.
Any conclusions?
This simple hour of mathematics on my part is of course not even close to being conclusive. There are far too many variables that hasn't been taken into consideration and the amount of data used wouldn't get a statistician even remotely interested. Nevertheless it has to be allowed to raise some questions.
First, how on earth are we going to replace Dennis Bergkamp? He will be 36 years old in may, but he still holds the key to Arsenal's stylish game. When Dennis is around, Arsenal are most likely to win. At present there is nobody to take his place. Give him another year!
Second. Arsenal must have a central midfielder who can run continuously for 90 minutes shielding the back four, making tackles all over the place and just be in the oppositions way every time they have the ball. We have had Emmanuel Petit and Ray Parlour. We have been used to have Gilberto, and coming up we have Mathieu Flamini. Cesc Fabregas has been in the limelight in Gilberto's absence. However, Arsenal's results are better with Mathieu Flamini. There are more to a great team than pace and trickery!
Third and last. When Freddie's red hair went out the window the magic went with with it. He averages a mere 1,68 points per game he plays this season, and even worse - it has been like this for years now. I don't know why it is like that. He scores his fair share of goals, but that's how the numbers are adding up. I believe that Freddie has a higher sale value than he has value to the team. Perhaps it's time to let him go to make room for others, perhaps someone like Shaun Wright-Phillips. It could have been Jermaine Pennant!
